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Category: Actualidad

Germany at the crossroads at last!

Following the bailout of Spain, Germany is now approaching the moment it has been desperately trying to avoid since the start of the crisis: making an irreversible decision regarding its future within the Eurozone and/or the future of the Eurozone itself. Don’t miss our latest article published on GurusBlog: «Germany at a crossroads, at last.«

The note that the ECB never sent...

The ECB has denied that it opposed the Spanish Government’s plan to recapitalise Bankia using Spanish government debt. It has simply issued a brief official statement to the media, explaining that the ECB has not been consulted on the Spanish (bank) recapitalisation plans. But what happened a few hours earlier is more than a little curious. (more…)

From the Arab Spring to the European winter.

John Mauldin treats us to another realistic analysis this week («Thoughts from the frontline») on the future of the Eurozone. He does so by presenting charts compiled from various sources and colleagues at conferences with whom he shares his analysis of this ‘New Normal’ or ‘New Paradigm’ in which we find ourselves navigating, both financially and in terms of our wealth. He begins by pointing out in the following chart that total debt – both private and public – should also be analysed from the perspective of non-financial corporate debt (excluding the banking sector). And here we can see how the Spanish business sector is, proportionally speaking, far more stifled by debt than in other heavily indebted countries.

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Hollande or Sarkozy, austerity yes or yes.

There are many fears that France will not follow the path of austerity and budgetary rigour, should the socialist Hollande win the elections. But the harsh reality is that the colour of the elected president and his electoral programme are not so relevant. Nor does it seem likely that in the second round Sarkozy will win the support of Le Pen's extreme right-wing voters, but even if Hollande were to win the Elysée, his capacity for manoeuvre would be very, very limited. (more…)

On the hunt for the Spanish elephant

We are in the eye of the storm. But not because of injustice or envy of our northern neighbours—no—but because of our own foolishness. That foolishness which has led us in the past to vote for governments of both political stripes, yet with one thing in common: an inability to manage the Spanish economy. We have missed a golden opportunity, given that economic growth and the surge in job creation in the Eurozone allowed us to boast of macroeconomic figures that made even those of France itself pale in comparison. And so Zapatero proclaimed on occasion, although today it is the Mercozy duo who must stifle their feelings in the face of the grotesque and surreal tragicomedy of the current periphery. «Spain is doing well,» we proclaimed to the four winds just a decade ago. Those were years when illusions of grandeur led the presidents of Spain and Portugal to meet in the Azores with the very presidents of the United Kingdom and the United States of America. Aznar, Barroso, Blair and Bush together shaping the plans that were to govern the New World Order. That was only nine years ago, but it seems so long ago…

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What do you want from Spain, Mr Market?

In many talk shows and in the press, we are hearing voices proclaiming the irrationality and delusion of the markets regarding the state of the Spanish economy. It is argued that the fact that Mr Market penalised Spanish bonds before the most austere budget in Spanish democratic history was made public, and continues to do so after the cuts, is irrefutable proof of the markets« madness. They say this is proof that this country’s economic policies must be set regardless of what the markets might think. That »the dictatorship of the markets’ is something we must ignore and fight against… But no. Let’s look at some of the reasons why we must not, and cannot, ignore Mr Market: (more…)

Spanish banking sector: Bailout or default

It’s already a an open secret that the Spanish banking sector must be bailed out with European funds. Although this is still officially denied, senior European leaders have begun to make statements to the media, playing down the stigma attached to the fact that Spanish banks must be bailed out in the same way as Greece, Ireland or Portugal. The funds will come from the infamous European Financial Stabilisation Facility (EFSF) and the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). And it seems that the Spanish banking sector can no longer conceal its insolvency.

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The perversion of counselling

First of all, we must tell you that the subject we are going to deal with today is complex and may offend some professional sensibilities. But that is not our intention at all, but rather our interest is focused on clarifying a situation that is currently generating a lot of confusion and, more importantly, is damaging families with a certain amount of wealth. Both large fortunes and small savers. We will therefore discuss, for example, Santander's convertible bonds, the recent inflammatory statements by Greg Smith (ex-Goldman Sachs), the types of assets that a properly diversified wealth should contain, the Spanish and Luxembourg regulators, banking, EAFIs, Family Office, or how to distinguish between a perverse advice and a perverse advice. comme il faut. We apologise for the length of the post, but we have chosen to publish it in its entirety so as not to lose the thread in the middle of the reflections that follow. (more…)

The State of Trade Union Emergency

That exceptional measures should be taken in exceptional situations is pure common sense. And the State of Emergency is a regime that can be declared by the government of a country in special situations. It is a temporary mechanism contemplated in the constitutions of countries in the event that a government determines that an extraordinary situation exists, such as a natural catastrophe, serious disturbance of internal order, foreign war or any other danger considered sufficiently serious, in order to deal with it adequately. A state of emergency usually involves the suspension or restriction of certain fundamental rights, and implies temporariness, until the exceptional situation is regularised. It is also known as a state of alarm, siege or emergency.

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Employment trends in 2012

Below is an article by a contributor who has asked us to publish some of her articles on this blog. Sofía Sánchez is a writer and a graduate of Florida International University, specialising in writing about politics, economics and labour market trends. Here is her article on these trends in the world of work:

The significance of losing one’s job goes beyond the obvious initial shock caused by the loss of purchasing power. Experts in occupational psychology state that the status of unemployment, into which so many skilled workers have been forced, is causing a worrying rise in cases of depression. However, you must not lose your nerve or become discouraged, as it is precisely this discouragement that is the jobseeker’s worst enemy. (more…)

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