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Category: Banca

Why do they call it ‘risk’ when they mean ‘volatility’?

Most of you will no doubt remember the famous Spanish film entitled “Why do they call it ‘Love’ when they mean ‘Sex’?” in which Verónica Forqué plays a charming porn actress. We’ve borrowed the title of that film to name this article, in which we’ll attempt to explain the confusion (for want of a better word) that reigns in the financial sector – that is, amongst banks and their various clients and investors – when it comes to distinguishing between risk and volatility. To lighten the mood a little, we’ll be interspersing this article with a few cartoons by Forges, who is a master at laying bare the banking sector’s shortcomings. (more…)

What lies behind Draghi’s bold move?

Below is a link to our latest article, published as regular contributors to GurusBlog, in which we analyse the implications of Draghi’s announcement, looking beyond the official and politically correct comments.

«First and foremost, it is only fair to say that the announcement of unlimited purchases of distressed debt (UNWTO) by the ECB on the secondary market, whilst the ESM It is being implemented at primary level; it is the most decisive, consensual and coordinated measure put into practice to date.

Whether it is because the measures taken to date have been cowardly and futile, or because this time the person taking them is not a politician fearful of the ballot box but a financial technocrat who has been weaned on Goldman Sachs, such as the President of the ECB. The point is that we are facing the most far-reaching decision in years – which, admittedly, is not saying much. But let’s look a little beyond the newspaper headlines and the politically correct arguments.» Read the full article.

Investors and Gamblers

Over the last 10 years, there has been a proliferation of stock market “courses” catering to all tastes. Some purport to teach how to trade derivatives, others show how to carry out technical analysis of charts to theoretically beat the market on a consistent basis, whilst others even sell their winning trading algorithms and strategies. All of them are advertised as the panacea that will make anyone who buys them rich. There is a whole world of techniques to choose from for supposedly getting rich on the stock market, with very little effort and very quickly, as their adverts claim. However, they all have one thing in common: their sales generate profits for their creators that the latter have not been able to achieve in the markets using their own methods – at least not consistently over time. (more…)

Investment funds and the devil take them all…

It is very interesting to note that the majority of Spanish investors have a very poor impression of the quality of investment fund management in general. So much so that a great many investors opt for simplicity, diversification and the low-cost of ETFs, fed up with paying high fees in exchange for sheer mediocrity, to put it politely. But let’s not forget that ETFs are nothing more than pure replicas of indices and benchmarks of all kinds, and their appeal lies solely in their diversity, low fees and lack of active management (assuming that is a virtue). In this way, investors ensure that returns will not fall below the respective benchmark indices, as no mediocre decision on the part of the fund managers can worsen the linked return… but at the same time they resign themselves to not even having the possibility that active management might outperform the markets. The fact is that, unfortunately, there are an increasing number of disillusioned Spanish investors who have given up on the idea that their investments might outperform the market in a clear and consistent manner over time. They regard it as a pipe dream, an unattainable and utopian dream. And the culprits are none other than banking advisers and Spanish regulation. (more…)

The note that the ECB never sent...

The ECB has denied that it opposed the Spanish Government’s plan to recapitalise Bankia using Spanish government debt. It has simply issued a brief official statement to the media, explaining that the ECB has not been consulted on the Spanish (bank) recapitalisation plans. But what happened a few hours earlier is more than a little curious. (more…)

The Mediocrity Criterion in figures

There is no greater failure than that of someone who gives up on success. Something similar happens to investment funds that stick to their benchmark indices, confident that, despite their mediocrity, the firms they work for will have no trouble marketing these funds on a massive scale, and will never blame them for failing to shine. A bank’s commercial capacity is directly proportional to the mediocrity of its investment products. Perhaps it’s because Necessity is the mother of invention, and fund managers at independent fund management firms (which do not belong to banks, at least not directly) can only compete for a place in the investment sales arena by demonstrating sheer quality and superior returns compared with their competitors. (more…)

The schizophrenia of the banking industry

There is something worse than being poor and insolvent, and that is having to hide one’s poverty whilst feigning opulence and grandeur. Woe betide anyone who has to pretend to be rich, when they are not, just to keep their business afloat! For insolvency and poverty, when faced with sincerity and honesty, become more dignified, more hopeful and less miserable. The fact is that working in a sector such as banking—which necessarily requires those in the business to feign wealth and stability in order to win the trust of their customers—is something one can live with when the bank is genuinely wealthy and solvent. But when the business goes awry and the leverage inherent in banking itself completely erodes the solvency and soundness of the institutions, that façade of opulence becomes a macabre lie, resulting in the schizophrenic loss of all contact with reality (as we said inEuroschizophrenia) on the part of the salespeople. It’s like crossing the desert wrapped up warm, without any water, and having to act all cocky and haughty as if the heat, the exhaustion and the thirst didn’t exist. Surreal.

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Spanish banking sector: Bailout or default

It’s already a an open secret that the Spanish banking sector must be bailed out with European funds. Although this is still officially denied, senior European leaders have begun to make statements to the media, playing down the stigma attached to the fact that Spanish banks must be bailed out in the same way as Greece, Ireland or Portugal. The funds will come from the infamous European Financial Stabilisation Facility (EFSF) and the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). And it seems that the Spanish banking sector can no longer conceal its insolvency.

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The perversion of counselling

First of all, we must tell you that the subject we are going to deal with today is complex and may offend some professional sensibilities. But that is not our intention at all, but rather our interest is focused on clarifying a situation that is currently generating a lot of confusion and, more importantly, is damaging families with a certain amount of wealth. Both large fortunes and small savers. We will therefore discuss, for example, Santander's convertible bonds, the recent inflammatory statements by Greg Smith (ex-Goldman Sachs), the types of assets that a properly diversified wealth should contain, the Spanish and Luxembourg regulators, banking, EAFIs, Family Office, or how to distinguish between a perverse advice and a perverse advice. comme il faut. We apologise for the length of the post, but we have chosen to publish it in its entirety so as not to lose the thread in the middle of the reflections that follow. (more…)

Customer Risk: Cause or excuse for bad management?

This week I came across an article published in FundsPeople titled «Client risk in private banking management«. These are obviously arguments put forward by bankers and former private bankers, which already distorts considerably the reality of what wealth management in general and financial investment in particular should be, as we said back in 2008 in «...".«The unbearable lightness of management»(private banking). We advance this warning because the FundsPeople article only deals with the management of bank investments, i.e. money invested in bank investment products, shares handpicked by the bankers and ex-bankers on duty and other investment funds listed in the bank's sales catalogue. We want to make it clear that there is a fundamental deviation from the way we should treat families' money, which should include investments in unlisted companies (private equity), real estate investments and other assets in which, in order to invest, the money must come out of the bank's account. Obviously, private banks do without such investments, as their mission is to keep their clients' money in the bank that generates their income at the end of the month.

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