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Category: wAsesoramiento Mult-Family Office

Resolving the dilemma of whether or not to go against the market.

«If there’s one thing I’ve learnt over the years, it’s that you shouldn’t go against the market«That is the blunt remark made a few days ago by a senior executive at a national bank to one of our clients. In fact, it is a phrase we have heard on many other occasions from various bank employees, and even from some savers, over the nearly three decades that we have been investing our money and that of our clients.

The question we are going to try to settle once and for all is whether it is true that, in the long run, we must stand up to Mr Market, or whether, on the contrary, we should let our investments ride out the ups and downs of the markets. And the answer may come as a surprise to more than a few: It depends on whether we are bankers or investors. Let us explain. (more…)

If you win the Christmas Lottery jackpot…

Estamos en épocas en las que millones de personas sueñan en la posibilidad de que la Lotería de Navidad les haga ricos. La creencia habitual es que una vez sucedido el milagro, los problemas les desaparecerán para siempre, y la felicidad será la norma hasta el fin de sus días. Pero todo dependerá de la actitud y las decisiones que tomen los agraciados a partir del momento en el que los Niños de San Ildefonso canten sus números. No tanto de la cantidad de dinero que suponga el premio, sino de la forma en la que decidan gestionar esa riqueza súbita.

Hace ya 5 años que publicamos un artículo titulado «Jurassic Park«, también por estas fechas navideñas, que «la coexistencia de una escasa capacidad para generar riqueza y una fortuna súbita, será en casi todos los casos una unión contranatura que buscará su reequilibrio». Es decir, que la unión de un montón de dinero caído del cielo, con personas que no han sido capaces de generarlo con su esfuerzo, suele durar pocos años, lamentablemente.

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Financial Repression: Un salvavidas para endeudados y una condena para inversores.

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A muchos les sonará ya este termino de Represión Financiera, pero para la mayoría todavía será algo desconocido, un término técnico más en estos años en los que hemos aprendido a hablar con cierta naturalidad de hipotecas subprime, desapalancamientos, del new normal o de la ya manoseada estanflación. Ahora el escenario en el que nos movemos y vamos a movernos en los próximos años es el de la Represión Financiera. Y para ello se han puesto de acuerdo quienes antaño dominaban la economía pero que ahora tratan desesperadamente de no ahogarse en su propio vómito, o sea su endeudamiento casi infinito: Europa, USA y Japón. (more…)

What is an Outpost Family Office?

The concept is new and meets a logical and increasingly common need in a globalised world. It is common knowledge that Family Offices are companies or groups of professionals that are essentially dedicated to the management and control of the assets of one or several families, as well as to attending to all aspects that may affect these family groups, such as taxation, legal advice or assistance in family logistics and concierge services (concierging), among others. But the new figure that has appeared for the users of a Family Office (whether they are Clients of a Multi-Family Office, or owners of a Single-Family Office), is that of the Outpost FO, or global support network for a Family Office.  (more…)

First Cyprus, now Poland, tomorrow…

Me da la sensación de que, a pesar de haber sido publicada at diversos medios, ha pasado bastante desapercibida por los inversores en general. Pero la pasada semana se anunció discretamente la confiscación nada menos que de más de la mitad de los planes de pensiones privados de todos los polacos. Así es, los ahorros de toda una vida, en previsión de poder cubrir las necesidades de la vejez, reducidos a la mitad de la noche a la mañana.  (more…)

Recovery and stability are here... eppur si muove!

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It appears that August 2013 is marking the start of the Eurozone’s economic recovery. Peripheral risk premiums are shrinking like raisins, whilst the price of German government bonds is falling (yields rising), mirroring US Treasury bonds. The political class and the establishment The Western media are hailing it as such, whilst keeping their fingers crossed that the prophecy will become a self-fulfilling one.

However, mathematics is stubborn. And so is economics. Despite the faith and the malicious or ignorant opinions of politicians and analysts, as Galileo said: e pur si muove. In other words, Spain’s deficit, its economic recession and its unpayable debt reveal the harsh reality: we are far, very far from achieving growth and regaining solvency. That is why reductions in the risk premium are nothing more than mirages in a desert of recession and deleveraging that we have barely begun to navigate. A temporary and unjustified improvement that is the result of political propaganda and the well-known inefficiency of the markets.  (more…)

Old Money and New Money

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A distinction must be made between two clearly differentiated types of estates: Estates that have been created by a single generation, and which are passed on to one or two subsequent generations at the most, since they die out along the way due to their smaller size and the usual dilapidation by the recipients of inheritances. And the large estates that are passed on from generation to generation, impersonally and in large family groups over many, many years. We call the former New Money and the second Old Money. (more…)

A question of priorities

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We are now in a phase of accommodation to chaos. The world turned upside down that summer of 2007 (I would even say that it began to do so after the 9/11 attacks on the WTC in 2001), and we have gone through a convulsive five years like few others, like very few others. And now it seems that we have become accustomed to the nonsense: to see the markets rise when the US unemployment figures worsen, because they are confident that this will mean the continuation of the infinite printing of money. Or to see bond yields fall when the FED insinuates that things are getting better and it will soon be able to take off the life support (QE) to the economy. Not to mention countless other absurd and unheard-of reactions and correlations. (more…)

The Cyprus Experiment: The euro is quietly falling apart.

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The dreaded abolition is here de facto the free movement of money between Eurozone countries. And it has happened as always, quietly, behind closed doors, and in the country of Mediterranean soda experiments: Cyprus. The first case to come to the New York Times forum It was Marios Loucaides, a Cypriot businessman who had the audacity to try to buy a flat in neighbouring Athens a few weeks ago.

Don’t think this was some massive purchase or a deal worth millions of euros – no. It was simply a matter of buying a modest flat for €170,000. Mr Loucaides agreed with the Athenian owner that he would transfer the amount upon his return to Cyprus, something that should be perfectly normal and routine between EU countries sharing a currency in the much-vaunted Eurozone. But no. The money could not leave the country after endless obstacles, and the sale fell through. The Athenian owner will have to find a buyer with real money – that is, euros, not Cypriot currency.

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What is happening to the gold and silver market?

As we mentioned in our previous article, «The Beast is awakening…«, let’s try to shed some light on the surprising behaviour of the precious metals market. Physical demand for gold and, above all, silver coins and bullion is skyrocketing week by week. And it is highly significant that, for the first time in history, the prices of futures, ETFs and other investment instruments not directly linked to the physical possession of gold and silver, It is currently being sold at a discount regarding actual bullion and coins. If that isn’t mistrust of the metals markets and the policies of printing fiat money, then God help us. And what’s worse, it’s almost impossible to reverse the doping of the quantitative easing provided by the Fed and the ECB, without derailing the fledgling US recovery and/or tearing the Eurozone apart into at least two pieces.  (more…)

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