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Category: Asesoramiento patrimonial para deportistas y artistas

Where wisdom is a duty, ignorance is a crime.

Many bank employees try to clear their consciences regarding what happened with preference shares and other toxic products, claiming they were unaware of the inherent risks involved in those investments, which they peddled left, right and centre. Many also hide behind the excuse that the responsibility lay with their superiors, and that they were merely foot soldiers carrying out orders to sell products indiscriminately, the risks of which were concealed or ignored. And the excuse of ignorance regarding the risks posed by these products is put forward to a greater or lesser extent across the entire banking hierarchy, from private banking managers to commercial banking staff, including branch managers. But neither the hierarchy of responsibility nor ignorance absolves any of them of blame, as we shall see later. (more…)

Beware of Developed Markets

The party continues. Following the rallies on the American and European stock markets – particularly the Spanish one – it seems that most investors are set to stumble over the same old stumbling block once again. When? It’s impossible to say for certain, but what is certain is that the stumbling block is there and investors, giddy from such a rally, are running about like headless chickens. And what is this stumbling block that so many are set to trip over? Well, logically, it’s the valuations in developed stock markets, which are by no means cheap any longer – not to mention that they’re already starting to look expensive. Especially when we bear in mind that corporate profits are at record highs and interest rates at record lows, which inevitably brings us closer to the end of this cycle and the start of the next.

We must also distinguish between the developed European and American stock markets: the European market is facing persistent deflation, which may well continue if the ECB is forced to take extraordinary measures similar to those taken by the Fed in recent quarters. But with the spectre of solvency crises and recession looming over the periphery, this will not bode well for its stock markets. It is true that the German stock market is trading at more reasonable prices than the Spanish one, but despite its efforts to shield itself, we must not forget that we are still all in the same boat – Central Europeans, Northern Europeans and the southern periphery. And that could be a source of contagion for turmoil on European stock markets, although, logically, those in the south will bear the brunt of it, as they are at the epicentre of the financial problems and are therefore trading at levels equivalent to almost 20 years’ worth of profits. (more…)

Resolving the dilemma of whether or not to go against the market.

«If there’s one thing I’ve learnt over the years, it’s that you shouldn’t go against the market«That is the blunt remark made a few days ago by a senior executive at a national bank to one of our clients. In fact, it is a phrase we have heard on many other occasions from various bank employees, and even from some savers, over the nearly three decades that we have been investing our money and that of our clients.

The question we are going to try to settle once and for all is whether it is true that, in the long run, we must stand up to Mr Market, or whether, on the contrary, we should let our investments ride out the ups and downs of the markets. And the answer may come as a surprise to more than a few: It depends on whether we are bankers or investors. Let us explain. (more…)

If you win the Christmas Lottery jackpot…

We are living in times when millions of people dream of the possibility that the Christmas Lottery will make them rich. The common belief is that once this miracle has happened, their problems will disappear forever, and happiness will be the norm for the rest of their lives. But everything will depend on the attitude and decisions of the winners from the moment the Children of San Ildefonso call out their numbers. It is not so much about the amount of money the prize represents, but rather the way in which they decide to manage that sudden wealth.

It is now five years since we published an article entitled «Jurassic Park«, also at this time of year, that «the coexistence of a limited capacity to generate wealth and a sudden fortune will, in almost all cases, be an unnatural union that will seek to restore its balance». In other words, the union of a windfall of money with people who have not been able to generate it through their own efforts tends, unfortunately, to last only a few years.

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What is an Outpost Family Office?

The concept is new and meets a logical and increasingly common need in a globalised world. It is common knowledge that Family Offices are companies or groups of professionals that are essentially dedicated to the management and control of the assets of one or several families, as well as to attending to all aspects that may affect these family groups, such as taxation, legal advice or assistance in family logistics and concierge services (concierging), among others. But the new figure that has appeared for the users of a Family Office (whether they are Clients of a Multi-Family Office, or owners of a Single-Family Office), is that of the Outpost FO, or global support network for a Family Office.  (more…)

Old Money and New Money

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A distinction must be made between two clearly differentiated types of estates: Estates that have been created by a single generation, and which are passed on to one or two subsequent generations at the most, since they die out along the way due to their smaller size and the usual dilapidation by the recipients of inheritances. And the large estates that are passed on from generation to generation, impersonally and in large family groups over many, many years. We call the former New Money and the second Old Money. (more…)

A question of priorities

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We are now in a phase of accommodation to chaos. The world turned upside down that summer of 2007 (I would even say that it began to do so after the 9/11 attacks on the WTC in 2001), and we have gone through a convulsive five years like few others, like very few others. And now it seems that we have become accustomed to the nonsense: to see the markets rise when the US unemployment figures worsen, because they are confident that this will mean the continuation of the infinite printing of money. Or to see bond yields fall when the FED insinuates that things are getting better and it will soon be able to take off the life support (QE) to the economy. Not to mention countless other absurd and unheard-of reactions and correlations. (more…)

The Cyprus Experiment: The euro is quietly falling apart.

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The dreaded abolition is here de facto the free movement of money between Eurozone countries. And it has happened as always, quietly, behind closed doors, and in the country of Mediterranean soda experiments: Cyprus. The first case to come to the New York Times forum It was Marios Loucaides, a Cypriot businessman who had the audacity to try to buy a flat in neighbouring Athens a few weeks ago.

Don’t think this was some massive purchase or a deal worth millions of euros – no. It was simply a matter of buying a modest flat for €170,000. Mr Loucaides agreed with the Athenian owner that he would transfer the amount upon his return to Cyprus, something that should be perfectly normal and routine between EU countries sharing a currency in the much-vaunted Eurozone. But no. The money could not leave the country after endless obstacles, and the sale fell through. The Athenian owner will have to find a buyer with real money – that is, euros, not Cypriot currency.

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In Cyprus, investment funds have not been seized, only deposits.

It should be clear to everyone that what has happened in Cyprus may well set the precedent for the rest of the periphery, and we should therefore take a very close interest in the details (the devil’s favourite abode) of this ‘corralito’/confiscation. One of the concerns – obsessions, I would say – that peripheral investors should have at the moment is whether all bank deposits in Cyprus have been affected, or whether, on the contrary, only the money (an actual percentage yet to be calculated) that has actually appeared on their balance sheets. (more…)

Should I invest from Spain or from Luxembourg?

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For many investors this has been the big dilemma since the European periphery began to collapse financially. When the insolvency of Spanish banks came through the door, the more prudent investors naturally jumped out of the window... and mostly in the direction of Luxembourg. The fact is that this small Duchy has been the Wall Street of the Eurozone for several decades now. London and its City remain a gigantic pseudo-European financial centre, but for the purposes of fiscal transparency, affinity with Brussels and its single currency, Luxembourg has become much more “Eurozone friendly“. (more…)

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