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Cluster Family Office Blog

Investment funds and the devil take them all…

It is very interesting to note that the majority of Spanish investors have a very poor impression of the quality of investment fund management in general. So much so that a great many investors opt for simplicity, diversification and the low-cost of ETFs, fed up with paying high fees in exchange for sheer mediocrity, to put it politely. But let’s not forget that ETFs are nothing more than pure replicas of indices and benchmarks of all kinds, and their appeal lies solely in their diversity, low fees and lack of active management (assuming that is a virtue). In this way, investors ensure that returns will not fall below the respective benchmark indices, as no mediocre decision on the part of the fund managers can worsen the linked return… but at the same time they resign themselves to not even having the possibility that active management might outperform the markets. The fact is that, unfortunately, there are an increasing number of disillusioned Spanish investors who have given up on the idea that their investments might outperform the market in a clear and consistent manner over time. They regard it as a pipe dream, an unattainable and utopian dream. And the culprits are none other than banking advisers and Spanish regulation. (more…)

The lies of politics, or the Emperor’s New Clothes.

Below, we’ll share some thoughts taken from and freely translated from a letter published by Eric Sprott, a prestigious asset manager specialising in precious metals, inZerohedge.com. In the letter, he speaks openly about the lies of politics, citing various examples involving Mariano Rajoy. Mr Sprott never minces his words. At the end of the article, you will find some of our own thoughts on the matter:

The President of the Eurogroup, Jean-Claude Juncker, said in April 2011 at a conference in Brussels: “When things get tough, you have to lie“He was presumably referring to situations where one must avoid giving the markets any hints so that the measures taken are effective. This argument is reasonable, but it is nonetheless surprising that such a high-ranking European official would publicly admit to doing so systematically. After all, our leaders are not supposed to lie, especially when things get really serious or ugly. READ MORE

 

The end of the countdown…

If there is one silver lining to the current extreme market volatility, it is that it will hasten the Eurozone’s demise and put an end to this political and economic agony. This is the moment when Germany must choose whether to take the path of assuming the debts and economic instability of the periphery, or, on the contrary, to jump off the bandwagon. And should it decide not to continue sharing this burden, it could also choose to uncouple carriages rather than jumping off itself. I hope you enjoy the article we’ve published on GurusBlog: «The End of the Countdown«

Germany at the crossroads at last!

Following the bailout of Spain, Germany is now approaching the moment it has been desperately trying to avoid since the start of the crisis: making an irreversible decision regarding its future within the Eurozone and/or the future of the Eurozone itself. Don’t miss our latest article published on GurusBlog: «Germany at a crossroads, at last.«

Cluster Family Office on GurusBlog

I am pleased to inform you that as of this week, we are publishing articles periodically in the prestigious GurusBlog. There we will be able to reach an audience that until now did not know us, and therefore our work of disseminating our way of seeing wealth management will have a wider reach. We will not always publish all the articles there and here in duplicate, but some posts will be published only in one of the sites. However, we will always try to publish short notes referring to our articles published in GurusBlog. I hope you enjoy it and here is the first one: «Who moved my Value? The compass of the New Normal«

The note that the ECB never sent...

The ECB has denied that it opposed the Spanish Government’s plan to recapitalise Bankia using Spanish government debt. It has simply issued a brief official statement to the media, explaining that the ECB has not been consulted on the Spanish (bank) recapitalisation plans. But what happened a few hours earlier is more than a little curious. (more…)

The Mediocrity Criterion in figures

There is no greater failure than that of someone who gives up on success. Something similar happens to investment funds that stick to their benchmark indices, confident that, despite their mediocrity, the firms they work for will have no trouble marketing these funds on a massive scale, and will never blame them for failing to shine. A bank’s commercial capacity is directly proportional to the mediocrity of its investment products. Perhaps it’s because Necessity is the mother of invention, and fund managers at independent fund management firms (which do not belong to banks, at least not directly) can only compete for a place in the investment sales arena by demonstrating sheer quality and superior returns compared with their competitors. (more…)

The schizophrenia of the banking industry

There is something worse than being poor and insolvent, and that is having to hide one’s poverty whilst feigning opulence and grandeur. Woe betide anyone who has to pretend to be rich, when they are not, just to keep their business afloat! For insolvency and poverty, when faced with sincerity and honesty, become more dignified, more hopeful and less miserable. The fact is that working in a sector such as banking—which necessarily requires those in the business to feign wealth and stability in order to win the trust of their customers—is something one can live with when the bank is genuinely wealthy and solvent. But when the business goes awry and the leverage inherent in banking itself completely erodes the solvency and soundness of the institutions, that façade of opulence becomes a macabre lie, resulting in the schizophrenic loss of all contact with reality (as we said inEuroschizophrenia) on the part of the salespeople. It’s like crossing the desert wrapped up warm, without any water, and having to act all cocky and haughty as if the heat, the exhaustion and the thirst didn’t exist. Surreal.

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From the Arab Spring to the European winter.

John Mauldin treats us to another realistic analysis this week («Thoughts from the frontline») on the future of the Eurozone. He does so by presenting charts compiled from various sources and colleagues at conferences with whom he shares his analysis of this ‘New Normal’ or ‘New Paradigm’ in which we find ourselves navigating, both financially and in terms of our wealth. He begins by pointing out in the following chart that total debt – both private and public – should also be analysed from the perspective of non-financial corporate debt (excluding the banking sector). And here we can see how the Spanish business sector is, proportionally speaking, far more stifled by debt than in other heavily indebted countries.

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Hollande or Sarkozy, austerity yes or yes.

There are many fears that France will not follow the path of austerity and budgetary rigour, should the socialist Hollande win the elections. But the harsh reality is that the colour of the elected president and his electoral programme are not so relevant. Nor does it seem likely that in the second round Sarkozy will win the support of Le Pen's extreme right-wing voters, but even if Hollande were to win the Elysée, his capacity for manoeuvre would be very, very limited. (more…)

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